The threat of strategic ambiguity: destructive role of Russian Federation on the world’s geopolitical map
The concept of strategic ambiguity is respected as one of the key notions of modern diplomacy. Sometimes even with the correct arrangement of situational events, it may assisst to achieve even more goals in relation to strategic clarity. Failure to do so, strategic ambiguity can lead to a complete disaster. The question is that, in which context Ukraine is recognized.
In its own way, Russia spontaneously puts a bridle on its adversaries by the means of deliberate imperative ambiguity. On the contrary, the West from the United States to European Union, in these latter days, demonstrated more clarity for their proposal rather to the ideas. Probably, we are guilty of that change?
Russia, in turn, only by hitting the east of Ukraine is now at its way to drive its troops out from the Ukrainian border. Most likely, the central aim in this case was to remind Ukraine and the West, that only Russia is in charge to control the rhythm of escalation and deescalation of conflict in this region, from Bielorussia to Georgia to be more precise.
After analysing the last adress of V. Putin, the Russian Federation, which had previously destructively infused post-soviet geopolitical space, where it de-facto possessed influence made a warning regarding the cross of ‘red lines’ by the West.
“In the contrary case, West risks to suffer from asymmetric cruelty”
This is a striking example of strategic ambiguity — as Russia announced that it will indicate by itself, where these so-called ‘red lines’ will be located.
Ukraine, on the contrary, gives primacy to strategic clarity — that West will protect and support Ukraine. Moreover, Ukraine intends to step forward to NATO membership. According to Ukrainian course, this will assist in Russian containment policy.
For the sake of NATO membership itself — this is exactly the very ‘red line’ which cannot be crossed by the West. If Ukraine will become a NATO member, this will automatically provoke a large-scale invasion, which the US and the EU desire so badly to eliminate.
Conclusion: destructive behavior of Russian Federation in its geopolitical region, at its own discretion, pushes the US and the EU to consider whether it is worth starting a struggle, losing human potential and whether Ukraine will be able to win this battle at all.
That is why the US and the EU actually remain ambiguous in their course regarding the aggressiveness of Russia.